21 Jul · 16:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OK
🇺🇦Oleksii Korobov
ELO 1603
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Korobov
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1499
FormWWLWW
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Elfemov🌟Korobov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 15% (13)
Fair odds · Korobov
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)