21 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1605
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Maltsev
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1545
FormWLLWL
56%
44%
🌟Tebenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (96)
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H32-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)