21 Jul · 18:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2165
FormWWWWW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Ponomarenko
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1766
FormWWWLW
85%
15%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~68 pts
3-0
45%
3-1
27%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+399
H2H193-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+399)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (193-32)