21 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1614
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Yurkov
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1597
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (80)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H60-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.