21 Jul · 11:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1834
FormLWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Danyliuk
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1664
FormLLWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H71-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-29)