Roman Merkl vs Stepan Kalensky — Setka Cup

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20 Jul · 20:58 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇺🇦Roman Merkl

ELO 1535

3-1Final setsMerkl won

🇺🇦Stepan Kalensky

ELO 1515

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Merkl at 50%. The actual result was Roman Merkl 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Roman Merkl — profile →Stepan Kalensky — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kalensky favoured — closing 1.79

Upset

Total 76.5

79 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kalensky −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kalensky −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 3.5

closing 1.32

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Merkl is favoured to win, below means Stepan Kalensky.

▲ Roman Merklpre 54% → final 100%

Stepan Kalensky ▼

Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games