21 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1448
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Elfemov
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1499
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorenko🌟Sydorenko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (84)
Fair odds · Elfemov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)