21 Jul · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1666
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Yurkov
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1618
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marushchak🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (119)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H73-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-46)