21 Jul · 16:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1761
FormWWWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Lushchyk
AV
🇺🇦Andrii Vasylets
ELO 1555
FormLWWWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+206
H2H34-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-30)