21 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇺🇦Petr Provaznik
ELO 1526
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Horak
OH
🇺🇦Ondrej Horak
ELO 1528
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Horak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.