21 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1448
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hainiuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1477
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Sydorenko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (84)
Fair odds · Hainiuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H48-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.