21 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1739
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lushchyk
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1761
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H81-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.