21 Jul · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RD
🇺🇦Radovan Debnar
ELO 1560
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Burylov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1587
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Burylov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Burylov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.