21 Jul · 19:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1534
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Merkl
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1535
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Merkl🌟Merkl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (60)
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.