21 Jul · 19:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yan Krol
ELO 1549
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krol
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Pitsyk
ELO 1505
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Krol
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)