21 Jul · 20:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PI
🇺🇦Pavlo Ishchyk
ELO 1420
FormLLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Shyndel
OS
🇺🇦Oleksii Shyndel
ELO 1541
FormLLWLL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Shyndel
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H14-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-1)