21 Jul · 21:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1472
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Merkl
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1535
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jirousek🌟Merkl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (60)
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)