21 Jul · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PI
🇺🇦Pavlo Ishchyk
ELO 1420
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrynenko
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1449
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ishchyk🌟Hrynenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (34)
Fair odds · Hrynenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.