21 Jul · 21:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Pitsyk
ELO 1505
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pitsyk
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1449
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrynenko🌟Pitsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (88)
Fair odds · Pitsyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)