21 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1472
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Toman
VT
🇺🇦Vojtech Toman
ELO 1510
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Jirousek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Toman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.