21 Jul · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇺🇦Jan Krames Sr
ELO 1597
FormWLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sr
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1488
FormLWLLW
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rejent🌟Sr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (97)
Fair odds · Sr
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H60-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-32)