21 Jul · 18:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1736
FormLWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kasyanov
AV
🇺🇦Andrii Vasylets
ELO 1555
FormLWWWL
68%
32%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vasylets
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)