21 Jul · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PI
🇺🇦Pavlo Ishchyk
ELO 1420
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pitsyk
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Pitsyk
ELO 1505
FormLLWLL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ishchyk🌟Pitsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (88)
Fair odds · Pitsyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)