21 Jul · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RD
🇺🇦Radovan Debnar
ELO 1560
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Grubr
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1581
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Grubr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.