21 Jul · 16:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Pitsyk
ELO 1505
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Shyndel
OS
🇺🇦Oleksii Shyndel
ELO 1541
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Shyndel
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.