21 Jul · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1679
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ivchuk
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1618
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Marushchak covers set handicap as underdog 63% (71)
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H40-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-7)