21 Jul · 14:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1522
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1649
FormLWLLW
37%
63%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (85)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)