22 Jul · 01:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1553
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lobas
VL
🇺🇦Valentyn Lobas
ELO 1606
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Abalmaz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (54)
Fair odds · Lobas
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)