22 Jul · 04:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mishchenko
ELO 1504
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mishchenko
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chelpanov
ELO 1436
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as favourite 63% (98)
Fair odds · Mishchenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H40-61
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)