22 Jul · 03:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1625
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pohonov
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1580
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sukovatyi🌟Pohonov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (139)
Fair odds · Pohonov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H33-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-17)