21 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1571
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chadima
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1558
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Melisek goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.