21 Jul · 22:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotyk
ELO 1469
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kotyk
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1432
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kalenyk🌟Kotyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (48)
Fair odds · Kotyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.