21 Jul · 23:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1638
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chaikovskyi
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1593
FormWLWWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Romanenko🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (62)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H29-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-11)