21 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1567
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pohonov
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1625
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
🌟Pohonov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (139)
Fair odds · Pohonov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H33-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-21)