21 Jul · 15:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yan Krol
ELO 1549
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Krol
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1449
FormLLLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Krol
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H35-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-31)