21 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1534
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tuma
VT
🇺🇦Vojtech Toman
ELO 1510
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.