21 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VT
🇺🇦Vojtech Toman
ELO 1510
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Merkl
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1535
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
🌟Merkl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (60)
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.