22 Jul · 05:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1464
FormLLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lobas
VL
🇺🇦Valentyn Lobas
ELO 1606
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Lobas
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)