22 Jul · 01:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1674
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maksymiv
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1593
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (62)
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H16-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-14)