21 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OK
🇺🇦Oleksii Korobov
ELO 1603
FormLLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Korobov
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1448
FormLWWWL
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorenko🌟Korobov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 15% (13)
Fair odds · Korobov
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)