21 Jul · 20:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇺🇦Ales Svoboda
ELO 1522
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Durovic
RD
🇺🇦Roman Durovic
ELO 1541
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Durovic
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.