21 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇺🇦Petr Provaznik
ELO 1526
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Melisek
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1558
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Melisek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 17% (12)
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.