22 Jul · 02:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1432
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mitla
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1435
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mitla🌟Mitla rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (50)
Fair odds · Mitla
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H20-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.