21 Jul · 16:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yan Krol
ELO 1549
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Krol
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Melashenko
ELO 1449
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Krol
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H54-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-10)