22 Jul · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1567
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sukovatyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1580
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H31-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.