21 Jul · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1448
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sharpai
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sharpai
ELO 1530
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Sydorenko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (84)
Fair odds · Sharpai
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)