21 Jul · 15:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1581
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Burylov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1587
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Grubr🌟Burylov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Burylov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.