22 Jul · 00:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1464
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Abalmaz
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1553
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H51-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-35)