21 Jul · 21:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RD
🇺🇦Roman Durovic
ELO 1541
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Durovic
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1488
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
🌟Rejent covers set handicap as underdog 63% (95)
Fair odds · Durovic
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)