22 Jul · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
ELO 1407
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Mishchenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mishchenko
ELO 1504
FormLLLLW
40%
60%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as favourite 63% (98)
Fair odds · Mishchenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H78-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-50)